Ledger of foresight
Prove you saw it coming.
Ask one clear question. Pick YES or NO. Add your probability. Alessus locks the call and builds your public record over time.
Today's ideas
See latestProof of foresight
Timestamped
Every public forecast is locked with a permanent record.
Social status
Scored
Resolved predictions turn clean judgment into visible reputation.
Single-player value
Useful now
The first user still gets a durable archive of their calls.
Prediction receipt
NASA will announce a new crewed Moon mission milestone before December 31, 2026.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Resolves
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Pending
Locked on Alessus
Open receiptWhy it matters
Normal social media rewards loud opinions. Alessus rewards accurate foresight.
People always say they knew it all along. Alessus creates proof.
Your takes finally have a scoreboard.
Lead questions
Five questions. Just YES or NO.
Pick a side, add your probability, and let the deadline settle it.
How it works
Question, probability, result.
A prediction should take seconds to understand and seconds to make.
Step 1
Make a forecast
Ask a question that can resolve cleanly to YES or NO.
Step 2
Pick a side
Choose YES or NO and set the probability. Alessus timestamps it before the event resolves.
Step 3
Build your record
When events resolve, your profile shows your accuracy, strongest categories, and best calls.
Why Alessus
Turn opinions into proof.
Alessus gives your predictions a public timestamp, clear reasoning, and a track record that can be checked later. Instead of saying you saw it coming, you can prove it.
Public record
9
Each forecast becomes a durable receipt with a question, confidence, deadline, and evidence trail.
Resolved calls
3
When events resolve, your right and wrong calls stay visible instead of being forgotten.
Reputation
10
Over time, Alessus shows where your judgment is strong and which calls you were early on.
Example prediction
A receipt that screenshots beautifully.
One question, a YES/NO probability, a deadline, and a permanent timestamp.
Avner Brodsky
@avner
NASA will announce a new crewed Moon mission milestone before December 31, 2026.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Locked on Alessus
View proofLatest queue
The latest prediction ideas generated for Alessus.
Fresh hooks can accumulate daily. This carousel shows the latest published ideas, while the hero keeps the top five in view.
Curated sequence
01 / 05
Will Tampa Bay Rays win 2026 World Series?
The Tampa Bay Rays reached the 2026 World Series after winning the AL pennant and this asks whether the Rays will be the series champions.
Resolution source: Official MLB World Series final game result on MLB.com or Associated Press game report.
Make this predictionWill any 2026–27 NBA team reach 60 wins?
The 2026–27 NBA regular season runs through spring 2027, and this asks whether at least one team will finish the regular season with 60 or
Resolution source: Official NBA regular-season standings published on NBA.com at season end.
Make this predictionWill Adam Hamilton defeat Roger Marshall?
Adam Hamilton is the Democratic nominee challenging incumbent Roger Marshall in Kansas’s U.S. Senate race on Nov 3, 2026, and this will be a
Resolution source: Kansas Secretary of State certified general-election results.
Make this predictionWill Manifold reach 100,000 monthly users?
Manifold Markets is growing its user base and this asks whether Manifold will report monthly active user figures of 100,000 or more by the
Resolution source: Manifold’s public traffic/usage metrics or an official company statement (or independent web-analytics report).
Make this predictionWill Old School RuneScape release The Fractured Archive?
Old School RuneScape has scheduled the Raids 4 content titled 'The Fractured Archive' and this asks whether Jagex will publish that release
Resolution source: Official Jagex/Old School RuneScape release notes or patch announcement on the game’s website/forums.
Make this predictionPrediction prompts
Start even if you have no audience.
The app should still be useful to one user. Prompt-driven forecasting gives that first user immediate value and structure.
Will Apple launch a new hardware product line before December 31, 2026?
A direct test of product cadence and global consumer demand.
Make this forecastWill the WHO certify another country malaria-free before December 31, 2026?
A globally meaningful milestone with a clean official source.
Make this forecastWill a major airport launch biometric boarding at a new international terminal before December 31, 2026?
A visible infrastructure rollout with an obvious public record.
Make this forecastFinal call
Start your foresight record today.
Build a public reputation for being early. Alessus proves who knew first.